Global Warming: Temperatures will rise to record levels after 2009
Temperatures are set to soar according to researchers at the Met Office’s Hadley Centre in Exeter, who via computer simulations used to generate the world’s first global warming forecast, have revealed that from 2009 temperatures will increase steadily. Prior to this natural climate alterations will neutralise warming created by greenhouse gases leading to a temperature plateau and from 2010 onwards, every year has at least a 50% probability of exceeding the record average global temperatures of 1998, which reached 14.54C. This could potentially mean hotter summers and periods of heavy rain in the UK.
In an attitude shift to provide more immediately relevant forecasts for emergency planners in governments and companies, climate change researchers are focusing on forecasts for the near future, rather than looking years ahead.
According to Professor Phil Jones, director of the climatic research unit at the University of East Anglia, near-term global warming forecasts is part of an endeavour to seamlessly combine weather forecasts with climate change predictions. Hopefully this will help people more readily ascertain what actions are necessary to prepare themselves for ongoing climate changes, as a result of global warming.
This article in question contains a lot of guff about El Nino keeping a lid on temperature changes; the problem is world temperature have stagnated since 2000, far too long for short term effects to hide; this is inexplicable and a might blow to AGW theories.
Now what interesting about this prediction is 2009-2015 will see temperature increases; which are precisely in line with forcing by the solar cycle; evidence of which has appeared in this publication only recently.
What we have here is a preemptive strike by the Met Office to stake a claim on Solar Forcing for AGW theories, and thus keep its reputation for a few more years. However, it fails to tell us what will cause the increase in temperatures only that it’s modeled!
I fact will make a prediction, during this period we would expect to see global temperatures rises of around .3 depending on the strength of the next solar cycle.
Also heard the news was hotter America 1930 in; AGW theories are looking very shaky.
Posted by: Paul Graham | August 11, 2007 5:58 PM